The MPR shrinks toward a preseason prior early on — 70% last season's final rating + 30% roster talent, weighted 100/75/50/25/0% across a team's 1st-4th game, so it is gone from the 5th game on. The MPR is the rating — the predictive number. The Resume is a second, separate read: a team's results this season only, in points, ranked in its own order. The Projected column is a projected final score, this team first, from scripts/model_game_totals.py — a pace/possessions model sets the game total and the MPR margin (+2.5 at home) splits it; it is pre-game for every game, where Expected replays a completed game's own box score. Ratings are recomputed by scripts/build_ratings.py; historical seasons are a reconstruction by the current model, and the walk-forward backtest is the point-in-time evidence. Methodology →