Rankings

MPR — McClintock Power Rating: the board number, and the order the board is sorted by. It is the predictive rating (formerly labelled "Power") in points — what a team projects to be — solved from the margin model's predicted spreads; every projection, margin and simulation here is built from it. It is shown beside Resume rather than blended with it, and the price of leading with the model's own read over the ~55-system Massey consensus (0.92–0.96 rank agreement at season's end, against 0.96–0.98 for a board sorted by Resume alone) is stated on the methodology page.
Resume — a schedule-adjusted grade of how a team has actually played this season, in points/game vs a top-10 baseline.
SOS — strength of schedule: the mean MPR of the opponents a team has faced so far, and its rank within FBS (1 = hardest). An FCS opponent counts at the model's FCS baseline.
SP+ — Bill Connelly's opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, shown for reference. The board carries it only before 2016, where it is the one number those seasons have; the CFP chip offers it any time.
Make CFP / Win CFP — 10k-season Monte Carlo odds (CFP Odds), SP+ or this site's MPR, switched with the chip above. Rk is the rank within FBS for the season.
The MPR shrinks toward a preseason prior — 70% last season's final rating, 30% roster talent — weighted 100/75/50/25/0% across a team's 1st–4th game, so it is gone from the 5th game on; separately, a stat anchor pulls each adjusted stat toward last season's value and never expires. Historical ratings are a reconstruction by the current model, not point-in-time predictions.